July 06, 2015

The Declaration of Independence

In his USA Today column Glenn Reynolds argues that we should pay more attention to the Declaration of Independence.  As precursor to the Constitution, the Declaration laid out what was then a completely new theory of government:  Out with the Divine Right of kings, in with the unalienable Rights of the people, and with them a form of government whose primary purpose is to secure those rights.

So, how's that working out for us?

Does our government now have, as its principal function, the protection of people's rights? Or is it more of a giant wealth-transfer machine, benefiting the connected at the expense of the outsiders? And, most important, does our government enjoy the consent of the governed?

Can there be any doubt?  Democrats openly profess that there is a moral imperative to operate the U.S. government as a giant wealth-transfer machine.  What they won't admit is that they themselves are the intended beneficiaries.

Disagree?  Then could you explain why poverty has not only not been eradicated, but in fact has gotten much worse under Barack "spread the wealth around" Obama?  After the powers that be and their connections get their "fair share" there's not enough left over for the poor to be anything else but poor.

We seem to be have stepped back from the concept of a government that secures the rights of its people, and instead we are moving toward something like the Divine Right of Kings.  Nowadays though, we're dealing with a Transcendent Right of Progressives, as determined by enlightened scientific consensus of course, to decide which groups are entitled to which rights, and which are not.  And if there's one right you're not entitled to, it's to keep the money you earn.  There's someone who needs to transfer it.

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July 05, 2015

Traffic Delay In Gorham, NH

We spent Independence Day morning on Diamond Pond in Stewartstown, New Hampshire.


I finally built some front steps. Up until yesterday the stump to the right in the picture below was our step up onto the deck. Using it did wonders for the strength in my legs.

The stairs are level but they look a little crooked because of the pitch to the deck. I'm not sure if I'm going to bother to change that, or how I'll go about it if I do.


We drove up from Jackson to Stewartstown the day before in two cars, Susan and Temmy in one, and me in the truck. Our original plan was to stay until Sunday morning, building two sets of stairs, and maybe paddling the kayaks around for a while. But the cabin is mostly unfinished, and this was our very first overnight stay. Weather was fine during the day, but it was cold and uncomfortable overnight, so cold in fact that we decided to go back to Jackson Saturday rather endure another cold and sleepless night.

We left the pond at about 2:00pm. It usually takes about an hour and a half to get home, but we found ourselves stopped in a line of traffic just outside of Gorham at around 3:00. We wondered at the hold up, since it seemed pretty late in the day for a parade. As we inched along into the center of town we noticed several people, mostly women, walking by with Hillary banners, so we concluded we had collided with the end of a Clinton political rally. Tis the season, after all.

This morning's perusal of the news on the net confirmed that Hillary had indeed been in Gorham, and in quintessential Hillary fashion. By the way, I didn't take the Hillary pictures below. Those were purloined off the net.


Her staff kept reporters at bay using ropes. Can you believe it? We all know she avoids questions from the press, but this is ridiculous. I have to say I'm at a complete loss as to why anybody would support Hillary, aside from the purely sexist one. But I must commend the press on their devotion, allowing themselves to be physically restrained with ropes while they do their utmost to make Hillary look good. Is that even possible?


I have a question I'd like somebody to ask Hillary. It is: In light of events in Benghazi in 2012, how will you convince prospective appointees that it's safe to accept an ambassadorship in a Clinton administration?

Bernie Sanders was not in Gorham on Saturday but there were enough Bernie banners in the crowd that you might think he was. Which brings up a question I'd like to ask Bernie if I ever get the chance. It is: Since you say we don't need 23 brands of deodorant or 18 brands of sneakers, how will you decide which ones to outlaw?

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April 24, 2015

Climate Change At Its Heart

According to Valli Moosa, South Africa's ex-environment minister, failure of the United Nations climate change negotiations scheduled to take place in Paris this December would be the death of multilateralism.

The stakes are high for the international talks, which hope to set a framework for reducing emissions to avoid 2 degree Celsius global temperature rise by 2100, said Valli Moosa, now the independent non-executive chairman of Anglo American Platinum. Another collapse akin to the 2009 Copenhagen talks would kick dealmaking up to national leaders, where it could get ensnared in political bickering.

Those pressures and the memory of Copenhagen, though, have sharpened the resolve of negotiators, Moosa said at a Thursday event hosted by the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions in Washington, D.C.

Stepping back from the political and media hype about climate change (formerly known as "Global Warming" but now called "Climate Change" due to lack of warming) you might be tempted to wonder a few wonders.

First, would a two degree rise in temperature over the next 85 years really be a bad thing?  There is a school of thought that says a rise in temperatures coupled with more CO2 in the atmosphere would be better for agricultural production, and would therefore improve the world's capacity to feed people.

The second thing to wonder about is this:  Exactly how would it be possible to prevent that two degree rise in temperature?  The past two decades have seen a marked increase in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere with no corresponding increase in temperature.  How, then, can we be sure that limiting CO2 emissions will have any bearing on temperatures?  So what's the deal?

Here's the deal (my emphasis below):

Negotiators noted the talks won't be easy.

"I wouldn't paint an incredibly rosy international picture," said Jo Tyndall, the top negotiator for New Zealand. "What dealing with climate change is all about is affecting quite a significant economic transformation."

Ah.  A "significant economic transformation."  Nice that they're quite candid about it.  They just want the money.  That's what it's all about.  Aside from lining their own pockets, who knows what they'll use it for?  But they want the money. 


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April 20, 2015

Vote Democratic And You Get...

Have you ever heard of a "John Doe" investigation?  Here's a description of what has been going on in a Wisconsin John Doe investigation that "directly targeted Wisconsin residents" who supported Scott Walker and his conservative reforms.

“It’s a matter of life or death.”

That was the first thought of “Anne” (not her real name). Someone was pounding at her front door. It was early in the morning — very early — and it was the kind of heavy pounding that meant someone was either fleeing from — or bringing — trouble.

“It was so hard. I’d never heard anything like it. I thought someone was dying outside.”

She ran to the door, opened it, and then chaos. “People came pouring in. For a second I thought it was a home invasion. It was terrifying. They were yelling and running, into every room in the house. One of the men was in my face, yelling at me over and over and over.”

It was indeed a home invasion, but the people who were pouring in were Wisconsin law-enforcement officers. Armed, uniformed police swarmed into the house. Plainclothes investigators cornered her and her newly awakened family. Soon, state officials were seizing the family’s personal property, including each person’s computer and smartphone, filled with the most intimate family information.

Why were the police at Anne’s home? She had no answers. The police were treating them the way they’d seen police treat drug dealers on television.

In fact, TV or movies were their only points of reference, because they weren’t criminals. They were law-abiding. They didn’t buy or sell drugs. They weren’t violent. They weren’t a danger to anyone. Yet there were cops — surrounding their house on the outside, swarming the house on the inside. They even taunted the family as if they were mere “perps.”

As if the home invasion, the appropriation of private property, and the verbal abuse weren’t enough, next came ominous warnings.

Don’t call your lawyer.

Don’t tell anyone about this raid. Not even your mother, your father, or your closest friends.

The entire neighborhood could see the police around their house, but they had to remain silent. This was not the “right to remain silent” as uttered by every cop on every legal drama on television — the right against self-incrimination. They couldn’t mount a public defense if they wanted — or even offer an explanation to family and friends.

Yet no one in this family was a “perp.” Instead, like Cindy, they were American citizens guilty of nothing more than exercising their First Amendment rights to support Act 10 and other conservative causes in Wisconsin. Sitting there shocked and terrified, this citizen — who is still too intimidated to speak on the record — kept thinking, “Is this America?”

This is the work of Milwaukee County District Attorney John Chisholm who has been investigating supposed illegal "coordination" between Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker and conservative groups who supported his election.  According to a whistleblower in the DA's office, Chisholm had a personal stake in the investigation.

Decorated Wis. cop says he paid dearly for blowing whistle on DA’s crusade against Gov. Walker

September 19, 2014 4:00 AM

MILWAUKEE (Legal Newsline) – After missing a scoop on Milwaukee District Attorney John Chisholm’s long-running investigation into Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel writers, along with the district attorney’s staff, hunted down the key source who had asked for anonymity, fearing retaliation.

That story, produced by the American Media Institute and published by Legal Newsline last week, said that the district attorney’s wife was a teachers union shop steward, had taken part in demonstrations against the Republican governor’s proposal to curb public employee unions and was repeatedly moved to tears by governor’s legislative crusade.

Chisholm, a Democrat, said privately that it was his “personal duty to stop Walker,” the confidential source said.

Welcome to the Obama's America.  Fundamental transformation is under way, the most dangerous aspect of it being the weaponization of government against dissenting citizens.  At the federal level the most blatant perversions of government administrative power have been exercised at the Department of Justice and the Internal Revenue Service, but there are more.  Has anybody ever heard of the Raisin Administrative Committee?

As is obvious by the goings on in Wisconsin, Democrats at the state level are also quite happy to use the power of their offices against their enemies. 

But for the time being the investigations in Wisconsin are on hold.

With the investigations now bursting out into the open, some conservatives began to fight back. O’Keefe and the Wisconsin Club for Growth moved to quash the John Doe subpoenas aimed at them. In a surprise move, Judge Kluka, who had presided over the Doe investigations for more than a year, recused herself from the case. (A political journal, the Wisconsin Reporter, attempted to speak to Judge Kluka about her recusal, but she refused to offer comment.)

The new judge in the case, Gregory Peterson, promptly sided with O’Keefe and blocked multiple subpoenas, holding (in a sealed opinion obtained by the Wall Street Journal, which has done invaluable work covering the John Doe investigations) that they “do not show probable cause that the moving parties committed any violations of the campaign finance laws.” The judge noted that “the State is not claiming that any of the independent organizations expressly advocated” Walker’s election.

The prosecutor, Chisholm, is not giving up.  He has taken his case to the Wisconsin Court of Appeals in an attempt to restart the John Doe investigations. The court cases have been consolidated and a ruling by the the state supreme court is expected in a matter of weeks.

Even if the Wisconsin Supreme Court rules his in his favor, which at the moment seems unlikely, Chisholm has lost the advantage of secrecy, and that will hamper his witch hunt.  That's the good news. 

The bad news is that Democrats with power will continue to use it to silence critics and advance their careers, their power, and their wealth.  They'll say their cause is just.  Socially just.  In fact Democrats consider the cause of Social Justice to be of such overriding importance that they are entitled to use whatever measures are necessary to impose it upon the rest of us.  And that will ultimately look exactly like what's been happening in Wisconsin.

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April 13, 2015

Hillary: Obama's Third Term

Writing in the BloombergView Al Hunt predicts that a Hillary Clinton presidency will be just like a third term for Barack Obama.  My emphasis below.

As the former secretary of state and spouse of the 42nd president begins her campaign for the presidency this week -- a prohibitive favorite to win the Democratic nomination --  don’t look for bold policy proposals right out of the box. She's starting low-key, holding small sessions with average voters. But soon she will prefer a focus on issues, even controversial ones, over press reports about her e-mail indiscretions or donations to the Clinton Foundation.

John Podesta, her politically savvy campaign chairman, is policy-centric. Conversations with a half-dozen Democratic policy experts suggest the broad outlines of a predictably progressive Clinton agenda that differs from Barack Obama's more in emphasis than substance.

The low-key start with small sessions will give Team Hillary the opportunity to test their messaging skills.  They face the perennial progressive problem.  How do we make unsound policy proposals sound reasonable?  This could prove challenging with the economic fruits so fresh in voters' minds.  Add to that the difficulty of convincing voters of her sincerity and trustworthiness. 

It will be a tough sell.  The big question, is the media up to it?  Will they support Hillary at all costs?  My guess is that they will give it their all.  It is another historic opportunity, to elect the first woman president.  Unfortunately, there is no other reason to vote for her. 

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April 08, 2015

The Left Explains

The New Republic's Elizabeth Stoker Bruenig engages in some remarkable analysis in explaining what went wrong with the Rolling Stone's campus rape story.  Are you ready for this?  Rolling Stone's Rape Article Failed Because It Used Rightwing Tactics to Make a Leftist Point. That's her headline.  It goes downhill from there.

What did go wrong? A whole host of things, most of them probably more interesting to journalists than readers.

Bruenig seems not to credit readers with the ability to understand the finer points.   She breaks it all down into simpler, more easily digestible ideas.

Yes, there were an absurd number of mistakes in Rolling Stone’s journalistic method, but like most events ostensibly about ethics in journalism, the kernel of the controversy is about politics, not journalism.

It would be more accurate to say that an ethical failure occurred because the Rolling Stone substituted politics for sound journalism in the campus rape story.  Bruenig confirms this by explaining how author Sabrina Rubin Erdely's central mistake was in her choice of strategies.  Bruenig describes what she imagines are left vs. right strategies. 

The left tends to view oppression as something that operates within systems, sometimes in clearly identifiable structural biases, and other times in subtle but persistent ways. 

In other words, the left gives itself a lot of latitude for coming up with what is or isn't discrimination.  Sometimes it's this, sometimes it's that.  One must look at entire systems. 

In the imaginations of Erdely, Bruenig's, and the left in general, there is belief in, among other things, an epidemic of rape on American college campuses.  By now it's a given.  There are structures.  There is disparity.  There is injustice.  What else do we need?  Disparity is oppression, and since the rape narrative has been circulating this long, it's time to simply declare it fact. 

This means the failure of Erdely's article was not that the Rollling Stone got the facts wrong.  The problem was that the article failed to support the preconceived conclusion — that there is a rape epidemic on college campuses.  As a consequence of that failure, readers may now legitimately ask if there really is such an epidemic.  That was never supposed to happen.  Bruenig puts it this way:

"In balancing a systematic critique on a single person’s story, Erdely essentially used a rightwing strategy to make a leftist point. The trouble is only that the right is skilled at this game, and correctly deduced that undoing Jackie’s story would go a long way to endangering Erdely’s larger structural point."

Did you ever notice that when you build a house, it's nice to have a foundation?  In a written argument the foundation of a "structural point" is made up of facts.  If you don't have the facts, you don't have a point.  It's not a difficult concept to grasp.

One thing is pretty obvious from Bruenig's analysis, though.  This concept of a foundation is not one that is embraced on the left.  The left makes the value judgment first.  Over a hundred years ago the left concluded that capitalism, a prominent and necessary characteristic of free societies, is inherently unfair, and that conclusion has been ingrained in receptive college students for generations.  Today, it's not uncommon for left leaning journalists to go about finding, or making up, stories to support such a preconceived value judgment.  And the Rolling Stone is one of the more egregious cases in point.

Another would be a series of stories by the New Republic itself.  A soldier by the name of Scott Thomas Beauchamp who served in Iraq wrote a series of articles describing the horrors of war and its effects upon the soldiers who serve. 

Beauchamp's July 13 column, published under the pen name Scott Thomas, was quickly attacked by conservative bloggers, sparking the biggest crisis for the liberal magazine since staff writer Stephen Glass was fired in 1998 for a series of fabricated stories.

Beauchamp had written that he and other soldiers had taunted a female soldier whose face was badly disfigured. The Army report said every soldier interviewed in Beauchamp's unit could not recall such a woman and called the account "completely fabricated."

The Army report also called Beauchamp's assertion that drivers of Bradley Fighting Vehicles deliberately ran over stray dogs "completely unfounded." And it dismissed as "false" Beauchamp's account that soldiers had played with the skulls of Iraqi children, saying just one skull was found and was buried with dignity.

Ultimately, the New Republic issued a statement saying that it could not stand by the stories Beauchamp wrote

If there is a comparable rightwing strategy, it would be to assess the facts first.  If the facts amount to something, then there may be a structural point to be made.  Facts are foundational.  Bruenig says the left is unskilled at this game.  Maybe, but not because they are unskilled.  They are in a different game.

The game the left is playing is a game that has the objective of replacing capitalism by something else that they will decide is fairer and more just.  Leftist journalism is not about reporting facts that accurately describe a current state of affairs.  It's about assembling or creating facts in order to change the current state of affairs — a state of affairs that they have already decided is unfair and unjust.

But facts are foundational.  If you don't have the facts, you don't have a point.  More and more we are finding, as in the UVA rape story, the Duke lacrosse story, in the "hands up, don't shoot" narrative, the facts didn't support the narrative.  Unlike Bruenig, most people understand that if the facts of a story are not true, the "structural point" is probably not true either.  Unfortunately, the left is ideologically committed to its structural points, facts be damned.  Elizabeth Stoker Bruenig  makes this perfectly clear.

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March 31, 2015

Push Poll Fabricates Public Support For Nuclear Deal With Iran

The headline over the Washington Post article proclaims, Poll: Clear majority supports nuclear deal with Iran.

By a nearly 2 to 1 margin, Americans support the notion of striking a deal with Iran that restricts the nation’s nuclear program in exchange for loosening sanctions, a new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds.

In the very next sentence the Post gives us the bad news:

But the survey — released hours before Tuesday’s negotiating deadline — also finds few Americans are hopeful that such an agreement will be effective.

The wording of the questions is always important.  In this case the first question of a six question poll asks:

Thinking now about the situation with Iran - would you support or oppose an agreement in which the United States and other countries would lift major economic sanctions against Iran, in exchange for Iran restricting its nuclear program in a way that makes it harder for it to produce nuclear weapons?

I emphasize the conditional clause in the question above.  Who wouldn't support a deal that would make it more difficult or impossible for Iran to develop nuclear weapons?  Still, under that rosy scenario only 59% support a deal. 

Which brings us to the the subject of the second question in poll.

How confident are you that such an agreement would prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons - very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?

Fifty-nine percent of respondents said they were not confident.  But the article goes on to analyze the demographics, making claims along the way that are not supported by the underlying poll questions and their published responses.

The Post-ABC survey finds that even those with limited hopes of a fruitful agreement are open to a deal. Support crests above 80 percent among respondents who are at least “somewhat” confident a deal will stop Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons. But even among those who are “not so confident” about an agreement succeeding, two in three support a deal. Only among those who are not confident at all about stopping Iran does opposition rise to a majority, though even here, 31 percent support a deal.

What does it mean, "open to a deal?"  But more importantly, was it a condition of the first question that a deal would be effective?  In other words, was the respondent told that the hypothetical deal would be effective?  That would explain why some of those 59% with no confidence might go along with a deal anyway.

In any case, no such breakdown can be found in the list of questions and responses.  Nowhere can you find the follow up question, "Would you support a deal given your level of confidence?" And supposing there were such a question, how might that one have been worded?  "Which do you support, a nuclear deal with Iran or World War III?"

And then there is the political party breakdown.

Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a...

Democrat 30
Republican 22
Independent 38
Other 07
No Opinion 03

That's almost a 3 to 2 ratio of Democrats over Republicans at a time when Republican fortunes are rising.  That weights the poll in favor of a deal, since a clear majority of Democrats are in favor while a majority of Republicans oppose.  Another example of our cheerleading media pulling out the stops for an Obama legacy?  Never mind what history has told us.

Neville Chamberlain did not achieve peace in his time by ceding the Czech region of the Sudetenland to Adolph Hitler in 1938.  In a matter of months after the Munich Pact was signed, Hitler went ahead and took the rest of Czechoslovakia, and shortly after that, German troops marched into Poland.  World War II was on, and Britain was in it, in spite of Chamberlain's agreement with Hitler.

This is not to second guess Neville Chamberlain.  He is often portrayed as oblivious to the threat posed by Hitler.  But he may just have made the best of a bad situation, intending to delay the inevitable in order to give Britain a little time to prepare for war. 

The same can't be said of the Washington Post.  There is a presumption at the Post:  Any deal that Obama enters into will be effective.  Any deal.  The Post seems willing promote that fiction for the sake of an Obama legacy. 

The public has no such confidence in the Obama administration's ability to cut an effective deal.  A recent Pew poll shows a heavy majority does not trust Obama to make a deal with Iran on his own.

Ahead of a March 31 deadline for nuclear talks with Iran, more Americans approve (49%) than disapprove (40%) of the United States negotiating directly with Iran over its nuclear program. But the public remains skeptical of whether Iranian leaders are serious about addressing international concerns over their nuclear enrichment program.

If a nuclear agreement is reached, most Americans (62%) want Congress to have final authority over the deal. Just 29% say President Obama should have final authority over any nuclear agreement with Iran.

In the Pew poll it was only the Democrat demographic in which a majority (51%) thought Obama should have the final say, while 67% percent of Independents and 83% of Republicans chose Congress. 

Pretending that we can trust Iran to stop nuclear weapons development is foolishness, and most Americans recognize this.  And many Americans have probably asked themselves the more realistic poll question:  "Do you support a conventional war now to prevent Iran from arming itself with nuclear weapons, or nuclear war later after they've done it?"

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March 18, 2015

The Charade Is Over

It's no secret that relations between President Barack Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have been tense at times.  It began at the start of his presidency when Barack Obama pledged that without pre-conditions he would open negotiations with the Islamic leaders of Iran.  He believed then, and believes now, that those negotiations will lay the foundation for a lasting peace in the Middle East including, eventually, a resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. 

Prime Minister Netanyahu, on the other hand, sees negotiating with Iran as an exercise in futility, and because of it he represents something of an impediment to Obama's diplomatic aspirations.  It has always been up to Israel to meet some demand or other before any peace talks can start, and these days Netanyahu is not willing to cede anything.  Furthermore, the prime minister isn't alone in his opposition to, and skepticism of, the nuclear agreement Obama is trying to reach with Iran.  There is also bipartisan opposition in the U.S. Congress to any deal with Iran that is not subject to congressional approval. 

However, with the Israeli elections looming, the possibility presented itself for at least one obstacle to be cleared from Obama's path to a grand agreement with Iran.  Netanyahu.

The American nonprofit OneVoice Movement – under scrutiny by a U.S. Senate panel over possible links to a campaign to oust Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu – quietly filed paperwork that would allow it to engage in political activism after two leading Republican lawmakers questioned its use of government funds, FoxNews.com has learned.

Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and Rep. Lee Zeldin, R-N.Y., sent a letter Jan. 29 to Secretary of State John Kerry asking whether the group ­– as a recipient of almost $350,000 in recent grants from the Obama administration’s State Department – had violated its tax-exempt status when it began backing the virulently anti-Netanyahu Victory 15 campaign in Israel earlier that month.

Cruz also publicly asked whether Obama – who’s had a well-documented adversarial relationship with Netanyahu – had “launched a political campaign against” the Israeli leader in the run-up to the election which was held on Tuesday.

For Obama to meddle in Israeli politics in such a manner seems in character, just as it's in character for him to accuse Republicans of the very same thing.  Earlier this month Prime Minister Netanyahu addressed a Joint Session of Congress at the invitation of House Speaker John Boehner and against the wishes of President Obama.  Obama, who did not attend or even listen to the speech, claimed that Republicans were helping the Israeli prime minister by giving him the U.S. House of Representatives as an election campaign forum. 

Maybe both sides were guilty.  In any case when the Israeli votes were tallied, Netanyahu's speech won out over Obama's get-out-the-Israeli-vote efforts.  The speech was actually a rousing success, with standing ovations left and right.  But in the days leading up to Tuesday's pivotal election, a mysterious late surge in the popularity of the Zionist Union had Netanyahu and Likud trailing in pre-election opinion polls.  It wasn't until early Wednesday morning that we learned how Netanyahu and Likud had won a convincing victory.  The Jerusalem Post published election return updates in real time.  Live-blogged, actually, with most recent entries at the top.


7:07 a.m. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu released a statement early Wednesday morning inviting potential coalition partners to immediately enter talks for the swift formation of what is expected to be a religious-nationalist government in Jerusalem.

"The reality isn't waiting on us," Netanyahu said just hours after it became clear that his Likud party had scored a decisive victory over Zionist Union in Tuesday's poll. "Reality isn't taking a break. The citizens of Israel expect us to quickly put together a leadership that will work for the sake of the country's security, economy, and society as we promised to do, and that is what I will do."

The premier said that he had already spoken with the heads of parties that he plans to invite into his coalition, including Bayit Yehudi chief Naftali Bennett, Kulanu's Moshe Kahlon, Yisrael Beytenu head Avigdor Liberman, Shas leader Aryeh Deri, and United Torah Judaism representatives Yaakov Litzman and Moshe Gafni.

"The prime minister plans to immediately begin forming a government in order to complete the task within two to three weeks," he said.


4:58 a.m. With nearly 95 percent of precincts reporting before dawn on Wednesday, the Likud has emerged as the clear, undisputed victor in the elections.

According to the official up-to-the-minute tally, Likud wins 29 seats while Zionist Union comes in second at 24 seats.

The parties that follow are Joint Arab List (14); Yesh Atid (11); Kulanu (10); Bayit Yehudi (8); Shas (7); United Torah Judaism (7); Yisrael Beytenu (6); and Meretz (4).

Netanyahu's victory is more bad news for Obama's foreign affairs legacy.  In the final days leading up to his re-election, Prime Minister Netanyahu promised that if he is elected there would be no creation of a Palestinian state.  The two-state solution has been the favored framework for Israeli-Palestinian peace talks for decades.  Israeli prime ministers have at least given lip service to the concept, seemingly as the price for continued U.S. and international support.  But the Middle East peace process has been a farce from the word go. 

The Palestinians do not want peace.  They want Israel off the map.  Peace negotiations are simply periods of respite between rocket attacks.  They are opportunities for Palestinians to re-arm.  Writing in the Washington Post in 2009, Robert J. Lieber, Georgetown University professor of government and international affairs, described what happened when Israel unilaterally and completely withdrew from Gaza in 2005.  More rocket attacks.

Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005 in the hope that the Palestinians would use the opportunity to prepare for an eventual agreement and a two-state solution in which they would live side by side in peace with Israel. Since then, there have been more than 3,500 such attacks aimed at areas of southern Israel, including over 200 launches since Dec. 19, after Hamas chose not to extend a six-month truce. The expanding range of these missiles now covers an area populated by as many as 700,000 Israelis.

Professor Lieber went on to express his doubt that Palestinians would ever agree to peace with Israel unless something convinces them that terrorism and violence will never work.

Egypt and Jordan have made peace with Israel, not because they embraced the ideas of Theodor Herzl, the founder of modern Zionism, but because they concluded that the effort to destroy the Jewish state had failed and that refusing to come to terms with it was harmful to their national interests. Ultimately, peace will be possible only if most Palestinians and their leaders become convinced that terrorism and violence are a dead end and that they cannot under any circumstances prevail over Israel through the use of force.

So Netanyahu will remain in power, and he has ditched the charade of the two-state solution.  At least for now.  I don't doubt that he would pick up it again if he thought doing so would lead to the establishment of real peace in the region and real security for the nation of Israel.  But for that to happen the prime minister would have to be convinced that Iran and the Palestinians are acting in good faith.  How likely is that?

Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad are terrorist organizations committed to the destruction of Israel, and both get substantial support from Iran.  Iran itself is committed to the destruction of Israel, as well as that of the United States.  Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad will never see the futility of terrorism and violence while Iran is willing and able to pay them for it.  And from what we know about the Obama administration's negotiations with Iran, tougher sanctions are not part of the deal, so Iran won't be strapped for terrorist cash.  President Obama will no doubt pursue his fantasy of a grand bargain, but don't expect the deal to convince Palestinians of the futility of their terrorism. 

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Netanyahu seems to be the player of consequence now.  Especially since his rejection of the two-state framework has just been endorsed by Israeli voters.  After decades the charade is finally over, and that, ironically, may be the real key to peace in the Middle East.  As they say, step one is to quit kidding yourself and admit that you have a problem.

Update 3/19/2015:  Today the Wall Street Journal reports that the charade is not necessarily over.

TEL AVIV—Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu withdrew his pledge to block the creation of a Palestinian state, saying he only believed the conditions for one “today aren't achievable.”

In an interview with Fox News, the prime minister said that he believed a Palestinian state could exist if it were demilitarized and recognizes Israel as a Jewish state. But he said he couldn’t support such a state now because of the threat that Islamic State or militant groups backed by Iran would gain control there.

As reported it sounds like an immediate flip-flop on Netanyahu's part.  But how different is that WSJ quote above from this that I said yesterday?  "I don't doubt that he would pick up it [the two-state solution] again if he thought doing so would lead to the establishment of real peace in the region and real security for the nation of Israel.  But for that to happen the prime minister would have to be convinced that Iran and the Palestinians are acting in good faith.  How likely is that?"

The real question is are we going to see a Palestinian state while Netanyahu is Prime Minister?  I think the answer is still no.

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March 16, 2015

Maureen! Is That Really You?

I don't ordinarily read Maureen Dowd.  She's so reflexively Democrat.  So you can imagine how stunned I was to read in her latest column what an unflattering opinion she had of Hillary, and her dread at the thought of another Clinton presidency.  She didn't have much to say that was good, which is not what I expect from one so partisan as Maureen.

WASHINGTON — SINCE open letters to secretive and duplicitous regimes are in fashion, we would like to post an Open Letter to the Leaders of the Clinton Republic of Chappaqua:

It has come to our attention while observing your machinations during your attempted restoration that you may not fully understand our constitutional system. Thus, we are writing to bring to your attention two features of our democracy: The importance of preserving historical records and the ill-advised gluttony of an American feminist icon wallowing in regressive Middle Eastern states’ payola.

You should seriously consider these characteristics of our nation as the Campaign-That-Must-Not-Be-Named progresses.

If you, Hillary Rodham Clinton, are willing to cite your mother’s funeral to get sympathy for ill-advisedly deleting 30,000 emails, it just makes us want to sigh: O.K., just take it. If you want it that bad, go ahead and be president and leave us in peace. (Or war, if you have your hawkish way.) You’re still idling on the runway, but we’re already jet-lagged. It’s all so drearily familiar that I know we’re only moments away from James Carville writing a column in David Brock’s Media Matters, headlined, “In Private, Hillary’s Really a Hoot.”

Turns out we weren't "only moments away" from that Carville column.  It was already there on the Real Clear Politics page.

But I digress.  There I was, agreeing with Maureen Dowd.  You might say, I could feel her pain:

Instead of raising us up by behaving like exemplary, sterling people, you bring us down to your own level, a place of blurred lines and fungible ethics and sleazy associates. Your family’s foundation gobbles tens of millions from Saudi Arabia and other repressive regimes, whose unspoken message is: “We’re going to give you money to go improve the world. Now leave us alone to go persecute women.”

That’s an uncomfortable echo of a Clintonian trade-off, which goes: “We’re going to give you the first woman president who will improve the country. Now leave us alone to break any rules we please.”

Well, maybe I couldn't feel her pain.  It was really more like, "So it took you some twenty years to figure this out?  Aren't you the clever one."  But no, that's not really it.  Maureen has always known Bill and Hill for what they are: sleazy politicians who consider themselves exempt from the rules the rest of us have to live by.  The real reason for Maureen's depression is that she feels she's stuck with the Clintons and all of their baggage.  If Hillary is going to "improve the country," as Maureen imagines she will, then there is no choice but to shut up and like it.

Suffused with paranoia and pre-emptive defensiveness, you shrugged off The One’s high-minded call for the Most Transparent Administration in History.

It depends upon what the meaning of @ is.

The subtext of your news conference cut through the flimsy rationales like a dagger: “You can have the first woman president. You can get rid of those epically awful Republicans who have vandalized Congress, marginalized the president and jeopardized our Iran policy. You can get a more progressive American society. But, in return, you must accept our foibles and protect us.”

On second thought, we can't really expect Maureen to shut up.  After all, she makes her living by sounding off on things political, and she's a Democrat.  If Hillary can make through the primaries, Maureen's on board.  She'll protect them as she understands them to demand it, and while she can't say much that's nice about Hillary, she can make up for it by hating Republicans.  That's really the only truly unifying issue among Democrats, anyway.  They hate Republicans.  And progressive warrior that she is, Maureen will do her part.

Notice her very first sentence:  "Since open letters to secretive and duplicitous regimes are in fashion, we would like to post an Open Letter to the Leaders of the Clinton Republic of Chappaqua."  How cleverly Maureen draws the equivalence between the Islamic leaders of Iran and the Clintons.  Duplicitous.  Secretive.  Sounds awful.

But she prefers the Clintons to those "epically awful Republicans."  The open letter to which she alludes is the one that Republican Senators sent to the leaders of Iran explaining how a treaty must be ratified by Congress before it carries the weight of law.  You might think such a letter would come in handy, as leverage by a president interested in driving a hard bargain.  You might also think a journalist would see that, as well.  But not President Obama, and not Maureen.  They see Iran as a partner, not an enemy.  Republicans, on the other hand, are not partners.  Obama never negotiates with Republicans.

So Maureen stokes progressive fears, blaming Republicans for seeking to damage to our Iran policy.  Could she be so delusional to suppose that we have an Iran policy, and that it can be damaged?  Iran is a rogue nation that isn't about to abide by any agreement that stands between them and a nuclear weapons program.  It seems beyond belief that Maureen and Obama both see it as important for Obama to make a deal (the details of which are secret) with Iran (the secretive and duplicitous Iran), even as she implies that that the Iranians can't be trusted to live up to it.  She knows they can't. 

If Obama makes a deal with Iran on his own, it will be one in which only appearances matter.  It will be a deal the ayatollahs will break the moment it suits them.  You might say the Iranians will cross that red line when they come to it.   Yet Maureen seems not at all worried about Iran getting nuclear weapons, which they might also make available to the terrorist groups they support.  For Maureen, it's more important to secure Obama's legacy, and in her view those awful Republicans, whose fears of a nuclear Iran and their terrorist proxies, threaten the deal and thus threaten the legacy.  

So Maureen is on board with the Clintons and all of their baggage.  She is on board with a Hillary presidency and all of its duplicity, secrecy, and intrigue that will go with it.  And she's apparently OK with Iran eventually getting nukes.  But Maureen's real fear?  The horror of a Republican in the White House.

Yes, Maureen, I guess that really is you.

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March 05, 2015

Global Warming and the Climate Models

Richard S. Lindzen, professor emeritus of atmospheric sciences at MIT, is pushing back against The Political Assault on Climate Skeptics.  There seems to be an inverse relationship.  As the evidence for catastrophic global warming disintegrates, attacks against those who question it escalate, in both frequency and intensity.

Individuals and organizations highly vested in disaster scenarios have relentlessly attacked scientists and others who do not share their beliefs. The attacks have taken a threatening turn.

As to the science itself, it’s worth noting that all predictions of warming since the onset of the last warming episode of 1978-98—which is the only period that the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) attempts to attribute to carbon-dioxide emissions—have greatly exceeded what has been observed. These observations support a much reduced and essentially harmless climate response to increased atmospheric carbon dioxide.

In addition, there is experimental support for the increased importance of variations in solar radiation on climate and a renewed awareness of the importance of natural unforced climate variability that is largely absent in current climate models. There also is observational evidence from several independent studies that the so-called “water vapor feedback,” essential to amplifying the relatively weak impact of carbon dioxide alone on Earth temperatures, is canceled by cloud processes.

Ah, the climate models!  Anyone out there familiar with computer programming and software development practices?  

In the business world, there is usually a sponsor who makes a business case for the development of a new system of programs.  Will we make money?  Will we save money?  Will we improve ease of use, and thus improve client retention?  Will we satisfy a regulatory requirement?  There can be lots of justifications for embarking on what can be a long and costly effort, but one way or another they all come down to the bottom line.  If the sponsor is able to win approval, development begins, usually with the writing of detailed specifications.

Programs are written according to those specifications, and of course, when you write a computer program, you are expected to test it.  Unit testing typically follows a plan that describes the steps taken to prove a program behaves as described in the spec.  Among other things a test plan will indicate what inputs will result in what outputs.  

You test and retest, running the program with various inputs and confirming that outputs are what the plan said they should be.  When you've finished all that you send it off to Quality Assurance where they have a go at it with their own set of tests.  After QA there may need to be client acceptance testing before the new system is put into production.  When it goes into production, it had better work, and it better be right, or there will be hell to pay.

Climate models are computer programs, or perhaps, suites of computer programs.  I have written computer programs, none so complex as Earth with its various inputs and outputs.  I can't even imagine what a complete list of inputs might be, never mind what to expect for outputs.

How would you account for it all?  For instance, last August a scientific article described a new theory:  The current pause in Global Warming is the result of heat sinks deep in the Atlantic and Southern oceans.  Since most climate models had already predicted the extinction of the polar bear due to an absence of the Arctic ice, obviously they had not accounted for those heat sinks.

But how would you program for such heat sinks, even if you could predict them, which they obviously did not?  And then having added the code to account for the heat sinks, how do you then confirm your program reflects their impact accurately?

Well, it turns out that two months after the article came out with the heat sink theory, another set of scientists said they found no appreciable ocean warming since 2005.  That brings us back to the question of what should be specified in climate model specifications?  Apparently no one really knows.  The climate models were wrong, but why?

I suspect software development in the academic world is not quite the same as it is in the business world.  If the sponsors of climate model software systems have to make a case to justify development, it would probably be in the application for a federal grant.  I've never written anything like that, but I imagine the grant application would say what knowledge would be gained and how the system would help in the research.  One thing we do know is that global warming is a hot topic (pun intended).  The federal government is eager to hand out money to study it.  Lots of money.  

[Michael] Mann [director of Pennsylvania State’s Earth System Science Center] is typical of pro-warming scientists who have taken millions from government agencies. The federal government — which will gain unprecedented regulatory power if climate legislation is passed — has funded scientific research to the tune of $32.5 billion since 1989, according the Science and Public Policy Institute. That is an amount that dwarfs research contributions from oil companies and utilities, which have historically funded both sides of the debate.

Mann, for example, has received some $6 million, mostly in government grants — according to a study by The American Spectator — including $500,000 in federal stimulus money while he was under investigation for his Climategate e-mails.

With the billions of dollars in federal grant money just waiting to be plucked, there is really only one thing a climate model needs to do:  Always predict that global temperatures are going to rise as the level of CO2 in the atmosphere rises.  It's beautiful!  It simplifies the specification and it simplifies testing by eliminating a lot of useless variables.  If the model always predicts that global temperatures are going to rise in some proportion to the rise in atmospheric CO2, the expected results are always achieved.  And doesn't that make it an easy program to write!

The only problem comes when you have to compare your climate model output to what happens in the real world.  But as we've seen, that takes years.  By that time, the climate model will have paid for itself a hundred times over.  And it goes without saying, the money's well spent on scientific research.

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February 21, 2015

Stonewalled -- The Information War

Stonewalled: My Fight for Truth Against the Forces of Obstruction, Intimidation, and Harassment in Obama's Washington
By Sharyl Attkisson

In her best selling book, Stonewalled, former CBS News reporter Sharyl Attkisson spells out in riveting detail what conservatives have known for years about mainstream news reporting.  Outlets such as CBS News fashion their coverage with an eye towards electing their preferred candidates.  Nowadays that means favorable reporting on Barack Obama and his administration and negative stories for his critics.

Stonewalled opens with Attkisson's discovery that her personal computer, another computer that she used for work, and quite possibly the CBS News internal network had all been hacked.  Attkisson's activities were being monitored by persons unknown.  She brought in cyber security experts to analyze her hardware.  They confirmed it:  Her computers had been breached.  But that wasn't the worst of the news.  Since there are so few organizations capable of such a thorough a penetration, analysts suspected that the hackers most likely belonged to one of our government's three-letter agencies.   The experts found more.

They're also worried about my home phone.  It's practically unusable now.  Often when I call home, it only rings once on the receiving end.  But on my end it keeps ringing, and then connects somewhere else.  Nobody's there.  Other times, it disconnects in the middle of calls.  There are clicks and buzzes.  My friends who call hear the strange noises and ask about them.  I get used to the routine of callers suggesting, half-jokingly, "Is your phone tapped?"


On top of that, my home alarm system has begun chirping a nightly warning that my phone line is having "trouble" of an unidentified nature.

An agency of the federal government was secretly monitoring Attkisson.  The time was October, 2012, and Attkisson was digging into the September 11th terrorist attacks on the US consulate in Benghazi, Libya.  Hackers were trying to find out what Attkisson knew and how she knew it

Benghazi had the Obama administration in cover up mode.  Questions posed by reporters about the attack and the apparent lack of an administration response to it were deflected or dismissed by White House spokesmen as partisan witch-hunting.  While some in the news media were satisfied with the White House version of events, Sharyl Attkisson was not, and because of it she got a close up look at the administration's methods for dealing with reporters who ask tough questions. 

"Know your enemy"
PR officials get to know the reporters on the story and their supervisors.  Research them.  Lobby them.  Look for their weak spots.  If they don't adopt the preferred PR viewpoint, the PR officials launch a campaign to controversialize and discredit them.

"Mine and Pump Strategy"
When ask to provide interviews and information for a story, the PR officials stall, claim ignorance of the known facts, and mine and pump the reporter for what information he has.

...The officials controversialize the reporter and any whistle blowers or critics to tru to turn the focus on personalities instead of the evidence...

It's a scripted process.  The Obama PR machine works to discredit the reporter, while at the same time it tries to spin the story in a way that puts Obama in more a favorable light.  If the story can't be spun, the next step is to delay.  Spokesmen plead ignorance.  Questions are brushed aside.  Eventually, officials respond to the repeated questions with something like, "Why are you still asking about this?  It's old news, we've already answered all that.  Can't we move on?"  Throughout the process the administration puts pressure on reporters, producers, and news executives:  Be reasonable, it's tough enough without your badgering.

It's not as if Obama hasn't got his allies in the media.  The relationship between corporate CBS and the Obama administration tends to be cooperative, which means that many of the obstacles confronting Attkisson came from her own management.  It is this that Attkisson devotes much of Stonewalled.

In example after example — Fast and Furious and the illegal transfer of guns to Mexican drug dealers; the disastrous rollout of Healthcare.gov and the lies told to the public; the deaths of four Americans at the US consulate in Benghazi, Libya and the administrations cover up of what happened; green energy subsidies and the associated corruption — Attkisson reveals how CBS News management would at first be enthusiastic about her stories, then would try to get Attkisson to agree to a softening of impact, and finally would just refuse to let her stories go on the air.

In her concluding chapter, Attkisson relates an anecdote that strengthens a suspicion I've had for some time now.  She tells of a phone call she received from a White House official that she chooses not to name.  It came a few days before the second presidential debate between Obama and Mitt Romney.

The White House official and I chatted casually about unrelated topics and then he introduced a non sequitur:  "The president called Benghazi a 'terrorist attack' the day after in the Rose Garden," he told me.

At the time, I hadn't given any thought to whether the president had or hadn't termed the Benghazi assaults "terrorism."  The debate on that point hadn't widely emerged and I was still focused on the State Department's denial of security requests from Americans in Libya prior to the attacks.

Since I really didn't know what the president had said in the Rose Garden the day after, I didn't offer a comment to the White House official on the other end of the phone.  He repeated himself as if to elicit some sort of reaction.

"He did call it a terrorist attack.  In the Rose Garden. On September twelfth."   

If you watched that second debate you may recall how Obama stunned Romney and nearly everyone else with the statement,

"The day after the attack, Governor, I stood in the Rose Garden and I told the American people and the world that we are going to find out exactly what happened.  That this was an act of terror and I also said that we're going to hunt down those committed this crime."

A flabbergasted Romney replied,

"You said in the Rose Garden the day after the attack, it was an act of terror?  It was not a spontaneous demonstration, is that what you're saying?"

Romney and the audience were further shocked when moderator Candy Crowley took the opportunity to jump into the debate on Obama's side. 

CROWLEY  It—it—it—he did in fact, sir.  So let me—let me call it an act of terror...

OBAMA  Can you say that a little louder, Candy?

CROWLEY  He—he did call it an act of terror.

Is there any chance that Crowley had not been prepped for Obama's surprise announcement.  A review of that Rose Garden speech transcript shows that Obama made no such connection between Benghazi and terrorism.  On the contrary, on the day Obama was speaking in the Rose Garden, Susan Rice had still not yet made the rounds of the Sunday talk shows to state the administration's position:  The attacks were a spontaneous reaction to an insulting internet video.  Officials up and down the administration had pushed the spontaneous demonstration narrative for weeks, but here was Candy Crowley, now corroborating Obama's new claim that he had immediately called it a "an act of terror."

Attkisson's revelation, that the White House also passed this nugget to her, convinces me that Crowley knew going into the debate what Obama was going to say about his "day after" Rose Garden speech.  She knew she could expect to hear him say it during the debate, and she knew what she was supposed to do about it.  It was her job to jump in in support of Obama's lie, and then immediately steer the debate to another topic.

A left-wing ideological slant to news coverage is not a recent phenomenon, and it's by no means rare.  In the 1930s the New York Times won a Pulitzer Prize for reports by Walter Duranty that glorified Josef Stalin and his Sovie regime, while ignoring the starvation of millions in the Ukraine.   But what was possible then is not so easy now.  In the 1930s, newspapers could be secure in the knowledge that their stories would go largely unchallenged.  Even into the 1960s and 1970s, newspapers and network news organizations had the power to dictate what was news and what wasn't, and they enjoyed the trust of the American public.  Contradictions had almost no chance of being heard.

Today the internet makes vast stores of information available to anybody with a computer who wants to go looking, and once the information is out there it almost never goes away.  On top of that, anybody can publish on the internet and potentially reach an audience of millions.  This calls for a different set of strategies, and the Obama PR machine has mastered them as Attkisson describes in detail in Stonewalled

It's hard to overstate the importance of this book.  In bygone days there was at least the semblance of an adversarial relationship between the press and the White House.  Some times more antagonistic than others.  With the election of Barack Obama, the most left-wing president ever, our already left-leaning media has tilted even further left and has pretty much abdicated the traditional role of the press.  Adversary has become ally.  We are in an information war.  Never before has news reporting been so blatantly dishonest, with entire media organizations working to promote the progressive, left-wing agenda. 

Fortunately, there are still the few courageous individuals like Sharyl Attkisson who are willing to report the truth in spite of concerted efforts to suppress it. 

Update:  With regard to the cooperative nature of the CBS News/Obama White House relationship, I should have included this information:

Here’s the crux. The Rhodes brothers.

Ben Rhodes, David Rhodes.

Ben is a deputy national security advisor to Obama and writes speeches for him. In September 2012, Ben was “instrumental,” according to ABC News, in changing the White House talking points (the story) on what happened in Benghazi.

Ben’s brother, David, is president of CBS News. Attkisson was working for David. She was investigating all the changes (12) in the Benghazi talking points. She was shut down.

[Emphasis above is mine.]

"Changing the White House talking points" refers to removing all reverences to terrorism and blaming a YouTube video for the violence in Benghazi that killed Ambassador Stevens and three other Americans.

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February 18, 2015

Attkisson's Top Ten Astroturfers

What, you may ask, is an astroturfer?  Astroturfers are large special interest entities who self promote by pretending to be grassroots movements.  Some of the ways they do this is by publishing blogs, writing letters to the editor, and by writing and commenting via social media, but always posing as independent voices.  Here are Attkisson's top ten:

1. Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America and Everytown

2. Media Matters for America

3. University of California Hastings Professor Dorit Rubenstein Reiss and Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia’s Dr. Paul Offit

4. “Science” Blogs such as: Skeptic.com, Skepchick.org, Scienceblogs.com (Respectful Insolence), Popsci.com and SkepticalRaptors.com

5. Mother Jones

6. Salon.com and Vox.com

7. White House press briefings and press secretary Josh Earnest

8. Daily Kos and The Huffington Post

9. CNN, NBC, New York Times, Politico and Talking Points Memo (TPM)

10. MSNBC, Slate.com, Los Angeles Times and Michael Hiltzik of the Los Angeles Times, MSNBC and Jon Stewart.

We're in an information war with the left.  Read the whole thing.

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February 13, 2015

One Sided Conversations On Huffington Post

I've recently taken to dropping comments on articles that I read on the web.  Yesterday, I couldn't resist sounding off on this Huffington Post article, Republican Rhetoric vs Reality, by Charles Schumer, Senator from New York.  Said Senator Schumer,

Democrats are encouraged to hear Republicans co-opting our rhetoric on the economy and we stand at the ready to work with Republicans to get things done for the middle class. But only when Republican policy proposals catch up to their rhetoric will we have an opportunity for real solutions.

So, what qualifies as a real solution in the mind of the Chuck Schumer?

Democrats want to raise the federal minimum wage and lower the cost of tuition. The President was right to think boldly in proposing the goal of free community college.

Raising the minimum wage, and proposing yet another government subsidy.  How bold.  The cost of a college education has never been higher thanks to the various subsidies and student loan programs.  So now the idea is to put community colleges out of reach too.  Great ideas.

I clicked on the comments to this article.  They are in a default sequence which is by "Social Ranking," and at the top of the list is one by "Top Commenter" Mark Cohen.

Mark Cohen · Top Commenter · St Leo University

Teapublican economic and tax policies have never worked historically and certainly not for anyone other than the already wealthy. However, Conservatives approach it just like many of them approach religion ...it is "faith based" and no empirical facts are required and to say otherwise is "heresy" ...just look at the latest example in Kansas ...

"Teapublican."  And Mark Cohen is rated as a "Top Commenter."  We have a clue into the philosophical leanings at the Huffington Post.  Not that we needed one. 

It's a pretty typical left-wing argument.  Broad generalities.  No mention of which policies and how it is they never worked.  Never in history, mind you.  And alas, with no "empirical facts" in support of of what he said.  I thought I'd respond by bringing up an inconvenient fact about a favorite policy of the Democrats, so I posted this in reply:

Tom Bowler · Works at Retired

Mark Cohen, speaking of economic and tax policies, have you checked with the employees of Borderland Books in San Francisco to see how that minimum wage hike is working out? http://www.sfexaminer.com/sanfrancisco/borderlands-books-in-sf-announces-closure-cites-minimum-wage-increase/Content?oid=2918723

According to the story linked in my comment, Borderlan Books, a local San Francisco book store, announced that it would close after San Francisco voters approved a minimum wage increase from $11.05 to $15.00.  Borderland was already struggling against competition from online book sales and the trend towards ebooks.  The minimum wage boost was the final straw.  Borderland's owner, Alan Beatts, said the store would have to increase sales by at least 20 percent just to stay afloat.  He considered it an unrealistic target.

Later on I went back to see if there was a reply to my reply and found that Mr. Cohen had posted this :

Mark Cohen · Top Commenter · St Leo University

Tom Bowler They may blame the minimum wage but the real reason is ,sadly, local bookstores have had serious problems for years mostly from the huge chains and online.

Show where historically when we have raised the minimum wage it has actually hurt employment...hint: it doesn't. Since the 1930's employers have poor mouthed about it and making threatening noises but the fact is more money in more hands creates more aggregate demand and boosts the economy. Whereas more in the hands of a tiny few does nothing of substance. Of course, that is where Conservatives then throw up "trickle down" but ,once again, that has never worked unless regulations or unions force it...

Show where raising the minimum wage hurt employment?  That's what I just did. 

I composed a reply, which took a while, since it was a long comment that needed proof reading and corrections.  I used Open Office Writer rather than trying to compose on the web site, then I copied what I wrote from Writer and pasted it into the Huffington comment box.  When I posted it, I noticed that only the first part of it was shown along with a "more" link to reveal the rest of it.  I clicked on the "more" link to confirm that the full comment made it in there.  It did.   I clicked on the X to close the Writer window, and when it asked "Save," "Discard" or "Cancel" I thought, oh what the hell, I'll save it.

This morning I got up to see what Mr. Cohen had to say about it.  Guess what!  My comment is gone!  I thought, well maybe it got misplaced somehow, so I tried exploding all sub-threads to make sure all of the comments were shown on the screen. I tried listing the comments in chronological sequence.  I couldn't find it.  I used CTRL-F to search for my name.  My original comment was there, but my final comment was still nowhere to be found.

What could I have said to so offend the folks at Huffington Post?  Well, here it is, essentially.  It's not verbatim because I did some final editing on the Huffington Post web site that I didn't transfer to may saved version

Mark, there is always a combination of factors that cause a business to go under. To simply dismiss the effect of the minimum wage hike because there are other factors is to ignore reality.

Policy makers have learned over the decades that price supports and price ceilings have rather nasty unintended consequences. The memory of gas lines in the 70s convinced policy makers in subsequent administrations, both Bush and Obama, that imposing price ceilings on gasoline creates shortages. So they didn't do it and the market took care of itself. Price supports on wheat in the 50s caused so much surplus wheat to be grown that they were abandoned in favor of direct payments to farmers not to grow the wheat. (We could argue the effectiveness of subsidies but that's another story.)

A price support on labor (minimum wage) is still a favorite with Democrats, even though its effect is to encourage a labor surplus (unemployment) in those jobs. There are union contracts that use the minimum wage as a trigger for higher union wages, and we know that higher union wages means more union dues and more campaign money for the Democratic party, so Democrats are always pushing for a minimum wage hike. It's always about the money, you know.

If things worked the way you think they do, we should be in an era of unprecedented prosperity, what with all the new regulations and that aggregate demand that the trillion dollar deficits and stimuli were supposed to create. But somehow we're not. In fact, we've got these rosy unemployment numbers only because the BLS unemployment calculation ignores people who have completely given up on finding a job. And there are a lot of them.

You can't regulate our way to prosperity any more than unions are going to force it. The way that wages go up is when employers have to compete for workers. In a rapidly expanding economy there is higher demand for labor and employers are forced to pay more for it.

That has not been the state of the economy for the last six years, due to Obama's fixation on higher taxes and more regulations for employers. Which brings us back to the topic of other factors that cause a business to go under. Regulations and taxes are part of that list. They contribute to the drag on economic growth, which is a drag on employment, all of which contribute to the drag on wage growth. Jobs have been scarce and employers have been under no pressure to offer good wages to retain workers.

When Democrats tell you that raising the minimum wage is going to bring prosperity through a boost in demand, it really means a boost in their own prosperity through a boost in campaign contributions. It's really all about the money, you know.

I thought I had a really good argument.  Apparently the Huffington Post did too.

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February 11, 2015

Obama Signals Opposition to Ground War Against ISIS

President Obama is reportedly ready to ask congress for authorization to use military force against ISIS.  The authorization will include strict limits on the types of U.S. ground forces that can be deployed, according to congressional sources.

President Barack Obama will soon give Congress his proposal for a new authorization for the use of military force against Islamic State fighters, and it will place strict limits on the types of U.S. ground forces that can be deployed, according to congressional sources.

Almost six months after the president began using force against the Islamic State advance in Iraq and then in Syria, the White House is ready to ask Congress for formal permission to continue the effort.  Until now, the administration has maintained it has enough authority to wage war through the 2001 AUMF on al-Qaeda, the 2002 AUMF regarding Iraq and Article II of the Constitution. But under pressure from Capitol Hill, the White House has now completed the text of a new authorization and could send it to lawmakers as early as Wednesday.

Usually Obama is only too happy to declare that with his pen and his phone he is prepared to act unilaterally.  In fact, he never asks congress for authorization unless it's for something he doesn't really want to do.  Recall back in 2013 when Obama waffled on his Syrian red line, that was not really his red line but the world's red line, which then turned out to be no line at all.

Mr. Obama said that the world needed to show the Syrian regime that they could not use chemical weapons with impunity.

And he defended his assertion that "a red line" would be crossed by the use of such weapons, arguing that he was simply emphasising accepted international laws.

"First of all, I didn’t set a red line," he said. "The world set a red line.

"So when I said that my calculus would be altered by chemical weapons, which the overall consensus of humanity says is wrong – that’s not something I just made up. I didn’t pluck it out of thin air.

"My credibility isn't on the line. The international community’s credibility is on the line."

So, having declared that the red line was crossed, Obama backed off.  He decided he needed congressional approval for action against Syria.  Not everyone agreed that he needed it.

President Obama said Saturday the United States should take military action against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad for using chemical weapons on civilians but also turned to Congress for approval -- dealing a potential setback to America's foreign policy and setting up what will likely be a hard-fought Washington debate on the issue.

“This menace must be confronted,” Obama said of the Assad regime’s alleged chemical attack, speaking from the Rose Garden.

However, the announcement also raised the question about whether the president put the burden on Congress to act.

"President Obama is abdicating his responsibility as commander in chief and undermining the authority of future presidents," said New York Rep. Peter King, a member of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence. "The president doesn't need 535 members of Congress to enforce his own red line."

A tough talking Obama announced that Syrian dictator Bashar al Assad had to go.  But that was 2013 and here we are a year and a half later with Bashar al Assad still in power in Syria, more secure than ever.  Based on Obama's past performance and this new AUMF proposal, we should expect ISIS to be more firmly entrenched than ever two years from now.

That could be the ultimate effect of Obama's proposal for a new AUMF which places strict limits on the types of U.S. ground forces to be deployed.  (My emphasis below.)

If enacted, the president's AUMF could effectively constrain the next president from waging a ground war against the Islamic State group until at least 2018. Aides warned that the White House may tweak the final details before releasing the document publicly. 

In advance of the release, top White House and State Department officials have been briefing lawmakers and Congressional staffers about their proposed legislation. Two senior Congressional aides relayed the details to me. 

The president’s AUMF for the fight against Islamic State would restrict the use of ground troops through a prohibition on “enduring offensive ground operations," but provide several exemptions. First, all existing ground troops, including the 3,000 U.S. military personnel now on the ground in Iraq, would be explicitly excluded from the restrictions. After that, the president would be allowed to deploy new military personnel in several specific roles: advisers, special operations forces, Joint Terminal Attack Controllers to assist U.S. air strikes and Combat Search and Rescue personnel.

It isn't war that Obama, or the rest of the anti-war crowd, opposes.  They seem quite supportive, for example, of the Palestinian's perpetual war against Israel.  Has anyone in the anti-war movement ever suggested the slightest opposition or disapproval of Palestinian rocket attacks against Israel? 

By the look of it, this new AUMF proposal would set the conditions for a new perpetual war between radical Islam — whether we call them ISIS or al Qaeda — and the west.  And that will do nicely for Obama and his anti-war constituents who are opposed only to America winning such a war.

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February 10, 2015

Statement of FCC Commissioner Ajit Pai

I've taken the liberty of posting Commissioner Pai's statement in its entirety.  It can also be found here on the FCC website.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                                                       CONTACT:
February 6, 2015                                                                                   Matthew Berry (202) 418-2005
                                                                                                               Email: Matthew.Berry@fcc.gov


            Last night, Chairman Wheeler provided his fellow Commissioners with President Obama’s 332-page plan to regulate the Internet. I am disappointed that the plan will not be released publicly. The FCC should be as open and transparent as the Internet itself and post the entire document on its website.

            Instead, it looks like the FCC will have to pass the President’s plan before the American people will be able to find out what’s really in it.

            In the coming days, I look forward to continuing to study the plan in detail. Based on my initial examination, however, several points are apparent.

            First, President Obama’s plan marks a monumental shift toward government control of the Internet. It gives the FCC the power to micromanage virtually every aspect of how the Internet works.  It’s an overreach that will let a Washington bureaucracy, and not the American people, decide the future of the online world. It’s no wonder that net neutrality proponents are already bragging that it will turn the FCC into the “Department of the Internet.” For that reason, if you like dealing with the IRS, you are going to love the President’s plan. 

            Second, President Obama’s plan to regulate the Internet will increase consumers’ monthly broadband bills. The plan explicitly opens the door to billions of dollars in new taxes on broadband.  Indeed, states have already begun discussions on how they will spend the extra money. These new taxes will mean higher prices for consumers and more hidden fees that they have to pay.

            Third, President Obama’s plan to regulate the Internet will mean slower broadband for American consumers. The plan contains a host of new regulations that will reduce investment in broadband networks. That means slower Internet speeds. It also means that many rural Americans will have to wait longer for access to quality broadband.

            Fourth, President Obama’s plan to regulate the Internet will hurt competition and innovation and move us toward a broadband monopoly. The plan saddles small, independent businesses and entrepreneurs with heavy-handed regulations that will push them out of the market. As a result, Americans will have fewer broadband choices. This is no accident. Title II was designed to regulate a monopoly. If we impose that model on a vibrant broadband marketplace, a highly regulated monopoly is what we’ll get. We shouldn’t bring Ma Bell back to life in this dynamic, digital age.

            Fifth, President Obama’s plan to regulate the Internet is an unlawful power grab. Courts have twice thrown out the FCC’s attempts at Internet regulation. There’s no reason to think that the third time will be the charm. Even a cursory look at the plan reveals glaring legal flaws that are sure to mire the agency in the muck of litigation for a long, long time.

            And sixth, the American people are being misled about what is in President Obama’s plan to regulate the Internet. The rollout earlier in the week was obviously intended to downplay the plan’s massive intrusion into the Internet economy. Beginning next week, I look forward to sharing with the public key aspects of what this plan will actually do.

Obama is determined to leave his mark on America, and if there is anything that will transform it in the way he has in mind putting a regulatory choke hold on the internet is it. There is no doubt that the intent of this regulatory power grab is to provide future progressive elites with the tools needed to stifle dissent. The internet continues to be a thorn in the side of Obama and his allies in the legacy media. It should come as no surprise that the network news outlets haven't bothered to cover this development

The internet has been crucial in raising awareness of the craven dishonesty of the corporate news establishment, from Dan Rather and his fraudulent 60 Minutes piece on the Texas Air National Guard to Brian Williams and his false pretenses of bravery under fire in Iraq.  The likes of ABC, CBS, and NBC would like nothing better than to shut down the outlets that reveal network news for what it is:  a strutting flock of sycophants for Barack Obama and anything labeled progressive.

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February 04, 2015

Jobs and the Minimum Wage

In the news today via Instapundit we have this story:

An independent San Francisco bookstore says it will be closing its doors by March 31, despite having its best year ever in 2014. And it’s pointing at San Francisco’s newly enacted minimum wage law as the reason.

Borderland Books, which specializes in science fiction and horror, says it has withstood a host of challenges since it opened in 1997, including the rise of Amazon.com and e-books, a landlord who supposedly doubled their rent while dotcoms were first booming, and a deep recession that the owners say “hit us very hard.” A higher minimum wage, though, would take the business from being modestly profitable to being a money loser, the owner says.

I couldn't resist Googling "minimum wage and unemployment" to find where "studies show" that the minimum wage has no impact on employment.  Sure enough, this turned up from Business for a Fair Minimum Wage .

Research Shows Minimum Wage Increases Do Not Cause Job Loss

Extensive research refutes the claim that increasing the minimum wage causes increased unemployment and business closures. (See list below.)


In a 2013 report, Why Does the Minimum Wage Have No Discernible Effect on Employment?, the Center for Economic and Policy Research spotlights two recent meta-studies analyzing the extensive research conducted since the early 1990s; they conclude that "the minimum wage has little or no discernible effect on the employment prospects of low-wage workers.

No doubt, Borderland Books' employees understand the impact that the minimum wage hike has had on their job prospects, in spite of all the studies that claim there isn't one.  

Speculating here, but I suspect the same people who lament the demise of the mom and pop retailers also support a minimum wage level that will drive them out of business.  I wouldn't necessarily count the folks at Business for a Fair Minimum Wage in that group.  It's my guess they've already calculated that a boost in the minimum wage will hurt their competition more than it will hurt them.

And of course the Democratic party is always on board, since a higher minimum wage means contractually higher union wages, which translates to more union money for the Democratic party.  Meanwhile, killing off mom and pop businesses will dry up sources of money for the Republican party.

The minimum wage.  It's all about compassion and fairness, you know.

While we're speaking of jobs, Gallup CEO Jim Clifton took a look at the official 5.6% current unemployment rate and says it's total BS.

Right now, we're hearing much celebrating from the media, the White House and Wall Street about how unemployment is "down" to 5.6%. The cheerleading for this number is deafening. The media loves a comeback story, the White House wants to score political points and Wall Street would like you to stay in the market.

None of them will tell you this: If you, a family member or anyone is unemployed and has subsequently given up on finding a job -- if you are so hopelessly out of work that you've stopped looking over the past four weeks -- the Department of Labor doesn't count you as unemployed. That's right. While you are as unemployed as one can possibly be, and tragically may never find work again, you are not counted in the figure we see relentlessly in the news -- currently 5.6%. Right now, as many as 30 million Americans are either out of work or severely underemployed. Trust me, the vast majority of them aren't throwing parties to toast "falling" unemployment.

There's another reason why the official rate is misleading. Say you're an out-of-work engineer or healthcare worker or construction worker or retail manager: If you perform a minimum of one hour of work in a week and are paid at least $20 -- maybe someone pays you to mow their lawn -- you're not officially counted as unemployed in the much-reported 5.6%. Few Americans know this.

Yet another figure of importance that doesn't get much press: those working part time but wanting full-time work. If you have a degree in chemistry or math and are working 10 hours part time because it is all you can find -- in other words, you are severely underemployed -- the government doesn't count you in the 5.6%. Few Americans know this.

We should not overlook that the unemployment number is a creation of the US Department of Labor.

Meet the Secretary of Labor

Nominated by President Barack Obama and sworn in on July 23, 2013, Thomas E. Perez is the nation's 26th secretary of labor. He has committed to making good on the promise of opportunity for all, giving every working family a chance to get ahead, and putting a middle-class life within reach of everyone willing to work for it. To accomplish this, Perez's priorities for the department include ensuring a fair day's pay for a fair day's work; connecting ready-to-work Americans with ready-to-be-filled jobs, through skills programs like Registered Apprenticeship and on-the-job training; promoting gender equality in the workplace; ensuring that people with disabilities and veterans have access to equal employment opportunity; and insisting on a safe and level playing field for all American workers.

Yes, "opportunity for all," and by their own measure, DOL is doing a great job.  And we owe it all to Obama.

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February 02, 2015

“He’s a white guy!”

Recently Jonathan Chait penned an article in New York Magazine that generated a lot of comment on the web.  He complained about the excesses of the progressivism's politically correct and how the language police are perverting liberalism.  What we have here is one of PC's chief practitioners, Chait, suddenly worried about the PC war on free speech. 

It comes in the wake of the murders at Charlie Hebdo.  Immediately after the French cartoonists were gunned down, there was near universal outrage over such a violent attack on freedom of expression.  However, it soon gave way, as discerning leftists declared, no we are not Charlie.

Were the slain satirists martyrs at the hands of religious fanaticism, or bullying spokesmen of privilege?

Bullying spokesmen of the politically correct pushing back against the bullying spokesmen of privilege.  The social justice industry has discovered another root cause.  It's the original sin of privilege.  For the eternal question, "Mommy, how come he has more than me?!" progressives have the answer:  White male privilege.

As progressives see it, it takes brilliance and sophistication to recognize that kernel of truth amidst the noise and chatter of our complex world.  But it implies that their complex world doesn't extend far beyond the proverbial backyard where an eternal Mommy adjudicates, and everybody's dish of ice cream holds exactly the same amount.

With the Charlie Hebdo attack Jonathan Chait has apparently come grips with the violent world that exists beyond the backyard fence.  Journalists were murdered.  I wonder if the terrorists had gunned down a random group of French Jews, would anyone have paid the slightest attention?  Would Chait?   But journalists were attacked, so lefty journalists did take notice. 

But then, surprise!  It turns out that free speech is a bone of contention over which the politically correct have taken sides.

The Marxist left has always dismissed liberalism’s commitment to protecting the rights of its political opponents — you know, the old line often misattributed to Voltaire, “I disapprove of what you have to say, but I’ll defend to the death your right to say it” — as hopelessly naïve. If you maintain equal political rights for the oppressive capitalists and their proletarian victims, this will simply keep in place society’s unequal power relations. Why respect the rights of the class whose power you’re trying to smash? And so, according to Marxist thinking, your political rights depend entirely on what class you belong to.

Jonah Goldberg hilariously pointed out in what might be considered a rebuttal article to Chait's, that the new left have now even turned on Marx.  It turns out he was privileged.  These are the very same who adhere to Marxist theory and promote Marxist solutions to everything from income inequality to race and gender inequality.

My buddy James Lileks writes about how left-wing students at Berkeley (sort of redundant, I know) are starting to turn on Marx, not because of his potted theories of the dialectic, his crude reductionism of man to homo economicus, or even the fact that he set the foundation for turning the 20th century into an abattoir. No, Marx is bad because he’s just another dead white guy. The students write in the school paper:

We are calling for an occupation of syllabi in the social sciences and humanities. This call to action was instigated by our experience last semester as students in an upper-division course on classical social theory. Grades were based primarily on multiple-choice quizzes on assigned readings. The course syllabus employed a standardized canon of theory that began with Plato and Aristotle, then jumped to modern philosophers: Hobbes, Locke, Hegel, Marx, Weber and Foucault, all of whom are white men. The syllabus did not include a single woman or person of color.

...Anyway, they go on to gripe that Marx worked from the assumption that there are — or were — differences between men and women. The madman! The professor’s statement in defense of Marx, that “women give birth while men do not,” was enough to make some students flee the room, no doubt in search of a gender-neutral fainting couch.

Maybe these kids just have too much time on their hands, but it's evidently not enough time for them to construct a coherent argument.  Quips Goldberg:

It’s amazing. We spent a century trying to explain to the Left why Marx was wrong. It just never occurred to us to try “He’s a white guy!” It should have been obvious.

I'm not sure about the "obvious" part, and I doubt even Goldberg would expect lefties to be persuaded, but it's hilarious to watch.  The PC police have long ago thrown in the towel on making a persuasive case.  They only argue among themselves, anyway.  They're about preventing any arguments from being heard that might be counter to theirs. 

By recognizing that the PC police represent liberal abandonment of the very principles for which they say they fight, maybe Jonathan Chait is coming around. 

Politics in a democracy is still based on getting people to agree with you, not making them afraid to disagree. The historical record of political movements that sought to expand freedom for the oppressed by eliminating it for their enemies is dismal. The historical record of American liberalism, which has extended social freedoms to blacks, Jews, gays, and women, is glorious. And that glory rests in its confidence in the ultimate power of reason, not coercion, to triumph.

Bludgeoning by the politically correct is not a perversion of liberalism.  It is liberalism.  There's a conservative strain to Chait's faith that "democracy is still based on getting people to agree with you."  I doubt that Chait sees it.  I suspect he's still stuck on liberal=good and conservative=bad.

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January 31, 2015

Staying Home

On Friday Mitt Romney announced that he would not seek the Republican presidential nomination.

“I believe that one of our next generation of Republican leaders, one who may not be as well known as I am today, one who has not yet taken their message across the country, one who is just getting started, may well emerge as being better able to defeat the Democratic nominee,” Mr. Romney said. “In fact, I expect and hope that to be the case.”

There's not the slightest doubt that putting Romney in the White House would be a vast improvement over our last dismal eight years under Obama, but as I've said before, Obama won't be a tough act to follow.  Romney would assuredly be a better president than Obama, but is that really good enough?  There is damage that must be undone, and I'm not at all confident that Romney is the man who will do it.  As Mr. Romney said, it's time to look to the next generation of Republican leaders.

Thank you, Mitt.

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January 25, 2015

Obama and the Homeless

If there was anything notable about the latest Obama State of the Union, it was that once again he trotted out the same old class warfare rhetoric with calls for higher taxes on the rich.  Once again he bragged, to almost everyone's disbelief, how well his policies have worked, while throwing in the absurd line about the "shadow of crisis" having passed.  People are having a hard time buying it.  Consider this story from the LA Times about the spread of homeless camps in Los Angeles.  

Over the last two years, street encampments have jumped their historic boundaries in downtown Los Angeles, lining freeways and filling underpasses from Echo Park to South Los Angeles. The Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority, a city-county agency, received 767 calls about street encampments in 2014, up 60% from the 479 in 2013.

Some residents believe the city is exporting its downtown homeless problem to their neighborhoods. But social service agencies and volunteers say it isn't that simple. They say that although downtown development and skid row cleanups are squeezing out some homeless people, many camps are filled with locals.

No matter what Obama says, you can't help but notice there are more homeless in our midst, and that Obama's policies are not helping them.  And now that folks in the LA area are voicing there concerns about the growth in homeless camps, the LA Times finds that it is also obliged to notice as well.  

Still, it's downright shocking to see a story like this from a mainstream newspaper when a Democrat sits in the White House.  Could it be that the mainstream news outlets are finally catching up with the rest of America?  Are they finally recognizing that Obama's tax-the-rich policies are really hurting the people that he likes to take credit for helping.  

It's not rocket science, says Larry Kudlow.

First, you can't create a new business or sustain an existing one without the seed corn and nourishment of capital investment.

Second, only businesses create jobs. You can't have a job without a business.

Third, jobs create all incomes, including middle-class incomes.

Fourth, incomes create family and consumer spending.

OK? This is not complicated. It's common economic sense.

University of Chicago economist Casey Mulligan states this in a simpler way: Growth starts with investment and ends with consumer spending.

Alas, for some it is rocket science.  In his State of the Union, class warrior Obama proposed another hike in the capital gains tax.  It was at 15 percent when he came into office.  He pushed it to to 20 percent, and then Obamacare took it to 23.8.  Now he's proposing to push it to 28 percent.  At the same time the U.S. workforce participation rate has gone from just under 66 percent to just under 62 percent.  A surge, in the millions, of people who have given up looking for work has occurred on Obama's watch, which has translated into a surge in the number of homeless.

Sadly though, the plight of the homeless is not a popular news feature until it can be traced back to the policies of a Republican president, at which point we are inundated with stories about them.  Perhaps MSM is just warming up in anticipation of things that might come in 2016.  After all, Republicans did just take over Congress.

In any event it's a stark break with tradition for an outlet like the LA Times to notice that the poor are suffering at exactly the same time that Obama's grand Democratic policies are supposed to be helping them.  One can't help but wonder what drives Times reporter Gale Holland to such an egregious breach of good taste.

It's hard to say, but it doesn't seem to arise from any rage at the unfairness of Obama's policies.  She obviously hasn't made the connection between higher taxes and lower job growth.  Ms. Holland can't even be sure there are any more homeless this year than there were two years ago.  Maybe they're are just spreading out.

Whether homeless people are more numerous or simply more visible could be answered by the biennial tally taking place this week.

As many as 6,000 volunteers will go out Tuesday through Thursday searching for homeless people living in alleys, riverbeds, cars and RVs. For the first time, homeless people will be asked about their gender identity, domestic violence and prison histories, and years of military service — information that could better track where they came from and why.

Ms. Holland's uncertainty will most likely disappear with the next Republican administration, when greater visibility of the homeless will be reflexively reported as evidence of a more widespread and growing problem.  In the next Republican administration there will be no need for her to ponder where the homeless come from or why they are homeless.  The causes will be obvious — Republican policies that favor the rich.

The simple logic that there are more homeless because there really aren't enough jobs to be had, and there aren't enough jobs to be had because of punitive and arbitrary tax policy, seems to escape Ms. Holland along with the the rest of the mainstream press.  For them, homelessness remains a mystery whose causes can't be ascertained with a certainty for at least another two years.

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January 14, 2015

Stay Home, Mitt

It would be an understatement to say that I was disappointed when Mitt Romney came up short in 2012.  2012 should have been a layup, a chip shot for Mitt Romney.  Barack Obama's combination of incompetence, arrogance, and intense partisanship has put him out in front of Jimmy Carter in the race for worst president in modern times.  But Mitt managed to blow it.

Mr. Romney’s campaign team was notable for its mediocrities, led by a strategist whose theory of the race was that voters had already rejected Mr. Obama so the challenger merely needed to seem like a safe alternative. He thus never laid out an economic narrative to counter Mr. Obama’s claim that he had saved the country from a GOP Depression and needed more time for his solutions to work.

And don’t forget the management calamity of Mr. Romney’s voter turnout operation, code-named Orca. Mr. Romney likes to say he reveres “data,” but Mr. Obama’s campaign was years ahead of Mr. Romney’s in using Big Data and social media to boost turnout. The Romney campaign was so clueless on voter mobilization that well into Election Night the candidate still thought he would win. He lost a winnable race 51%-47%, including every closely contested state save North Carolina.

There is no question that Mitt would have been a vastly better president than Barack Obama, but that's not setting the bar very high.  Obama said he intended to transform America.  He wants us to be a socialist democracy, one that elects progressive leaders on the promise that they will maintain the various federal entitlements upon which we are intended to become dependent.  We are well on our way if ObamaCare is allowed to stand. 

But a Romney presidency starting in 2016 will move America only slightly back toward the center.  Meanwhile Obama's encroachments on our freedoms, the politicization of the federal bureaucracy, including the Justice Department, the EPA, and the IRS will remain in place.  Obama put them there, the tools he uses against his enemies and the American people, hoping to establish lasting progressive majorities.  Should Romney run and win in 2016, there they'll stay, awaiting the next progressive "visionary" who will pick them up and use them to rebuild Obama's totalitarian apparatus when Romney's term is done.

Obama had to be stopped in 2012.  Romney's first step towards halting and rolling back the Obama transformation was winning that election.  He didn't do it.  He couldn't stop the transformation then, and we can't expect that he'll stop it now.  I wonder if he even knows that that is what needs to be done.

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