« The relentless al Maliki | Main | Sure to be a best seller »

May 01, 2008

No retraction yet

The economy isn't supporting Democratic party aspirations as well as it might.  The recent economic downturn has so far not developed into a recession as we head towards the November elections.  In fact, it's actually growing, at a slow rate I'll admit.

WASHINGTON (AP) - The bruised economy limped through the first quarter, growing at just a 0.6 percent pace as housing and credit problems forced people and businesses alike to hunker down.

The country's economic growth during January through March was the same as in the final three months of last year, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. The statistic did not meet what economists consider the classic definition of a recession, which is a retraction of the economy. This means that although the economy is stuck in a rut, it is still managing to grow, even if modestly.

On top of that, the brief erosion of jobs has unexpectedly come to an end.  Companies added 10,000 jobs in April.

April 30 (Bloomberg) -- Companies in the U.S. unexpectedly added 10,000 jobs in April, a private report based on payroll data showed.

The increase followed a revised 3,000 gain for the prior month that was less than previously estimated, the report from ADP Employer Services showed today...

...The ADP report was forecast to show a decrease of 60,000, according to the median estimate of 25 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Estimates ranged from a drop of 115,000 to a decline of 20,000.

So an expected loss of jobs didn't materialize, and we'll soon see how the economy responds to the summer season and the government's $168 billion economic-stimulus package that has started landing in peoples' bank accounts this past Monday.

Posted by Tom Bowler at 07:24 AM | Permalink

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d83451ece669e200e5521e92b58834

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference No retraction yet:

Comments

Well I agree with you in all aspect except job loss, didn't the unemployment filing go up twice what was expected and the unemployement rate edged up to .1 percent?

Posted by: Kory Cochran | May 1, 2008 12:04:10 PM

It is true that the unemployment filings went up last week. The rate hasn't been reported yet, although the Bloomberg article says it is expected to go up .1%.

Today's figures come before a report in two days from the Labor Department that may show private and government payrolls declined by a total of 75,000 in April, according to a Bloomberg survey, after a drop of 80,000 in March. The jobless rate probably rose to 5.2 percent from 5.1 percent, the survey said.

Posted by: Tom Bowler | May 1, 2008 12:40:01 PM