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September 27, 2012

How 'bout Those Independents

According to Breitbart's Big Journalism, the mainstream media are ignoring the Romney's lead among independent voters in Ohio and Florida.

In both Ohio and Florida, Barack Obama’s “clear leads” all come from heavy over-sampling of Democrats, not from winning the crucial Indie vote. In fact, most of the polls that show Obama with big leads also show Romney handily winning Independent voters. Yet, somehow, Obama manages to increase his performance from 2008 despite Independents now opposing him. Let's take a look at how Romney is competing among Independents in recent polls:

Ohio – Leads Among Independents

Ohio Newspaper Organization – Romney +28

CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac – Romney +1

American Research Group – Romney +16

Fox News – Romney +4

We Ask America – Romney +3

Public Policy Polling – Romney +2

Florida - Leads Among Independents

CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac – Romney +3

Gravis Marketing – Romney +4

We Ask America – Romney +2

American Research Group – Romney +1

Florida Times Union – Romney +4

Fox News – Obama +2

Remember, these are states Obama won by small margins in 2008, primarily by winning Independents by 7 and 8 points. If Barack Obama were winning with Independents in every poll, it’s clear the media would be talking about it just as they did, to the point of annoyance, four years ago.

About a third of all voters are independent.

Posted by Tom Bowler at 04:55 PM | Permalink


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Following the 2010 midterms, it seams unimaginable that a candidate embodying everything the Tea Party rejects could become the Republican party’s nominee, but that is what happened. 

And so, there is a less than 50/50 chance that this nominee will win a squeaker.

What is absolutely inexcusable is the possibility of the Republicans failing to take the Senate.

This should have been the number 1 priority once the Presidential nominee became obvious.

Posted by: robinson1 | Sep 27, 2012 5:10:26 PM

I think you misunderestimate the Tea Party. They're highly motivated and voting against Obama.

Posted by: Tom Bowler | Sep 28, 2012 5:21:58 AM